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Mild Spring Weather and Stagnant Production Boost Gas Storage
Warmer weather in March and a slight increase in production boosted storage levels and started injection season early. Persistent warmer weather has taken storage levels from 13% below the 5-year average to only 2% below. This summer is expected to be above average, but not quite as hot as the record-breaking summers we’ve experienced in the last couple of years. With heavy pressure on this injection season, producers don’t anticipate increasing production until new LNG terminals come online later this year.
Bearish
- Mild Spring weather across most of the U.S. has reduced overall energy demand.
- Recent pauses in tariff implementation are helping to stabilize market conditions.
- Natural gas storage levels are slowly increasing and moving closer to the 5-year average, reducing immediate supply concerns.
Bullish
- Production remains stagnant, with little to no growth from major producers, limiting additional supply
- Demand is expected to rise due to new LNG terminals scheduled to come online through 2027.
- Ongoing uncertainty around the trade war continues to influence market sentiment, as new tariff announcements tend to spook the market while temporary pauses provide only short-term relief.
Storage Report: 4/14/25: Warmer Weather and Stagnant Production Support Continued Injection Growth
Expected Injection – 60 BCF
Actual Injection – 57 BCF
Current Storage Level – 1,830 BCF – 6.5% below the 5-year average
Gas storage has been propelled for the second week in a row due to continued stretches of warmer weather across the U.S. combined with a slight increase in production.
NOAA MAP: Warmer East, Cooler West Expected in 8-14 Day Outlook
Regional Dot Plots
Rolling Gas Curve
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